Trump's repeated use of phrases like "Praise be to Allah" in Truth Social posts taunting Iran has established a clear pattern that shapes current trader expectations. Multiple instances since April 2026 have coincided with U.S. naval actions, port blockades, and warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, including a post on August 12 referencing waterway control amid ongoing diplomatic and military friction with Tehran. The 71.5% implied probability for "Yes" by September 30 reflects this established rhetorical habit during active policy pressure on Iran, combined with the roughly five-week window ahead. Resolution hinges on any qualifying public statement expressing approval or reverence for Allah.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
72% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Oui
72% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's repeated use of phrases like "Praise be to Allah" in Truth Social posts taunting Iran has established a clear pattern that shapes current trader expectations. Multiple instances since April 2026 have coincided with U.S. naval actions, port blockades, and warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, including a post on August 12 referencing waterway control amid ongoing diplomatic and military friction with Tehran. The 71.5% implied probability for "Yes" by September 30 reflects this established rhetorical habit during active policy pressure on Iran, combined with the roughly five-week window ahead. Resolution hinges on any qualifying public statement expressing approval or reverence for Allah.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$42Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trump's repeated use of phrases like "Praise be to Allah" in Truth Social posts taunting Iran has established a clear pattern that shapes current trader expectations. Multiple instances since April 2026 have coincided with U.S. naval actions, port blockades, and warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, including a post on August 12 referencing waterway control amid ongoing diplomatic and military friction with Tehran. The 71.5% implied probability for "Yes" by September 30 reflects this established rhetorical habit during active policy pressure on Iran, combined with the roughly five-week window ahead. Resolution hinges on any qualifying public statement expressing approval or reverence for Allah.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$42Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's repeated use of phrases like "Praise be to Allah" in Truth Social posts taunting Iran has established a clear pattern that shapes current trader expectations. Multiple instances since April 2026 have coincided with U.S. naval actions, port blockades, and warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, including a post on August 12 referencing waterway control amid ongoing diplomatic and military friction with Tehran. The 71.5% implied probability for "Yes" by September 30 reflects this established rhetorical habit during active policy pressure on Iran, combined with the roughly five-week window ahead. Resolution hinges on any qualifying public statement expressing approval or reverence for Allah.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes