Following the March 22 first-round subnational elections, Bolivia's gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of April 19 runoffs in multiple departments, driving trader consensus to a near deadlock with Popular Alliance (AP) at 46%, Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) at 45%, and Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 44.5%. No alliance secured outright majorities beyond a few like Pando (LIBRE) and Potosí (independent), reflecting post-MAS fragmentation after the party's 2025 implosion and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory. AP leads via first-round pluralities in highland departments like La Paz and Tarija, but eastern autonomist strongholds favor Súmate and LIBRE. Recent Oruro runoff confirmation heightens uncertainty; pivotal second-round results in Santa Cruz and others could tip the most-governorships outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
2026 Bolivia Gubernatorial Elections: Party Winner
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) 28%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.5%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
$981 वॉल्यूम
$981 वॉल्यूम

Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%

Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
28%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
2%

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
45%

Popular Alliance (AP)
45%

Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
44%
Christian Democratic Party (PDC) 43%
Unity Bloc (UNIDAD) 28%
Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP) 2.5%
Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) 0
$981 वॉल्यूम
$981 वॉल्यूम

Christian Democratic Party (PDC)
23%

Unity Bloc (UNIDAD)
28%

Movement for Socialism (MAS-IPSP)
2%

Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE)
45%

Popular Alliance (AP)
45%

Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)
44%
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following the March 22 first-round subnational elections, Bolivia's gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of April 19 runoffs in multiple departments, driving trader consensus to a near deadlock with Popular Alliance (AP) at 46%, Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate) at 45%, and Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 44.5%. No alliance secured outright majorities beyond a few like Pando (LIBRE) and Potosí (independent), reflecting post-MAS fragmentation after the party's 2025 implosion and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory. AP leads via first-round pluralities in highland departments like La Paz and Tarija, but eastern autonomist strongholds favor Súmate and LIBRE. Recent Oruro runoff confirmation heightens uncertainty; pivotal second-round results in Santa Cruz and others could tip the most-governorships outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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