Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 96.7% implied probability to retain power in the Assam Legislative Assembly after single-phase polling on April 9, propelled by multiple pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA coalition, including over 96 seats in surveys like IANS-Matrize and Peoples Pulse. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, high voter turnout above 75%, and the first polls post-delimitation—which redrew constituencies amid controversy over minority-dominated areas—have solidified this commanding lead against a fragmented opposition featuring INC, AIUDF, and regional parties. Results await counting on May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically shift outcomes, but polling consistency renders them improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअसम विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
असम विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
भाजपा 96.7%
आईएनसी 2.6%
एआईटीसी <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$61,212 वॉल्यूम
$61,212 वॉल्यूम
20 मई, 2026
भाजपा
97%
आईएनसी
3%
एआईटीसी
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
<1%
एनसीपी
<1%
एआईयूडीएफ
<1%
बीपीएफ
<1%
सीपीआई
<1%
एनपीईपी
<1%
एजीपी
<1%
भाजपा 96.7%
आईएनसी 2.6%
एआईटीसी <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$61,212 वॉल्यूम
$61,212 वॉल्यूम
20 मई, 2026
भाजपा
$11,757 वॉल्यूम
97%
आईएनसी
$7,409 वॉल्यूम
3%
एआईटीसी
$4,519 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
$4,847 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एनसीपी
$4,222 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एआईयूडीएफ
$4,933 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बीपीएफ
$4,474 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीपीआई
$9,171 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एनपीईपी
$5,221 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एजीपी
$4,659 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 96.7% implied probability to retain power in the Assam Legislative Assembly after single-phase polling on April 9, propelled by multiple pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA coalition, including over 96 seats in surveys like IANS-Matrize and Peoples Pulse. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, high voter turnout above 75%, and the first polls post-delimitation—which redrew constituencies amid controversy over minority-dominated areas—have solidified this commanding lead against a fragmented opposition featuring INC, AIUDF, and regional parties. Results await counting on May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically shift outcomes, but polling consistency renders them improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$61,212समाप्ति तिथि
9 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 96.7% implied probability to retain power in the Assam Legislative Assembly after single-phase polling on April 9, propelled by multiple pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA coalition, including over 96 seats in surveys like IANS-Matrize and Peoples Pulse. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, high voter turnout above 75%, and the first polls post-delimitation—which redrew constituencies amid controversy over minority-dominated areas—have solidified this commanding lead against a fragmented opposition featuring INC, AIUDF, and regional parties. Results await counting on May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically shift outcomes, but polling consistency renders them improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
वॉल्यूम
$61,212समाप्ति तिथि
9 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 96.7% implied probability to retain power in the Assam Legislative Assembly after single-phase polling on April 9, propelled by multiple pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA coalition, including over 96 seats in surveys like IANS-Matrize and Peoples Pulse. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity, high voter turnout above 75%, and the first polls post-delimitation—which redrew constituencies amid controversy over minority-dominated areas—have solidified this commanding lead against a fragmented opposition featuring INC, AIUDF, and regional parties. Results await counting on May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could theoretically shift outcomes, but polling consistency renders them improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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