Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामार्क लैम्ब 88%
ट्रैविस ग्रांथम 4.2%
जे फेली 2.5%
$44,734 वॉल्यूम
$44,734 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
मार्क लैम्ब
88%
ट्रैविस ग्रांथम
4%
जे फेली
3%
मार्क लैम्ब 88%
ट्रैविस ग्रांथम 4.2%
जे फेली 2.5%
$44,734 वॉल्यूम
$44,734 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
मार्क लैम्ब
$2,119 वॉल्यूम
88%
ट्रैविस ग्रांथम
$1,120 वॉल्यूम
4%
जे फेली
$41,495 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$44,734समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$44,734समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb holds an 88% implied probability on Polymarket to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven by trader consensus on his dominant polling leads and key endorsements as the leading contender to succeed retiring Rep. Andy Biggs in this safely Republican East Valley seat. A December 2025 survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters showed Lamb at 64% support, far ahead of state Sen. Travis Grantham (1.4%) and former NFL kicker Jay Feely (3.1%), with 30% undecided; his position strengthened by former President Trump's November endorsement and superior name identification across voter segments. No major shifts in the past 30 days, though late momentum or scandals could narrow the field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न