Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारोनाल्डो कायाडो 31%
रेनेन सैंटोस 26%
ऑगस्टो क्यूरी 24%
वेटेरिनेरियो विल्सन ग्रासी 15%
नया
नया
3 अक्टू, 2026
रोनाल्डो कायाडो
43%
रेनेन सैंटोस
36%
ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
24%
वेटेरिनेरियो विल्सन ग्रासी
15%
पाब्लो मर्शाल
9%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
8%
ज़ेमा
8%
हर्ट्ज़ डायस
6%
समारा
6%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
5%
लूला
5%
क्लैरियाना बाराओ
5%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
5%
रोनाल्डो कायाडो 31%
रेनेन सैंटोस 26%
ऑगस्टो क्यूरी 24%
वेटेरिनेरियो विल्सन ग्रासी 15%
नया
नया
3 अक्टू, 2026
रोनाल्डो कायाडो
$78 वॉल्यूम
43%
रेनेन सैंटोस
$58 वॉल्यूम
36%
ऑगस्टो क्यूरी
$51 वॉल्यूम
24%
वेटेरिनेरियो विल्सन ग्रासी
$28 वॉल्यूम
15%
पाब्लो मर्शाल
$48 वॉल्यूम
9%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
$117 वॉल्यूम
8%
ज़ेमा
$28 वॉल्यूम
8%
हर्ट्ज़ डायस
$28 वॉल्यूम
6%
समारा
$28 वॉल्यूम
6%
रुई कोस्टा पिमेंटा
$28 वॉल्यूम
5%
लूला
$128 वॉल्यूम
5%
क्लैरियाना बाराओ
$118 वॉल्यूम
5%
एडमिल्सन कोस्टा
$118 वॉल्यूम
5%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$855समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
वॉल्यूम
$855समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and BTG Pactual/Nexus shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie near 35-40% for the October 4 first round, with Augusto Cury holding a clear third at around 6%. This leaves Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema clustered just below in the 1-5% range, driving trader consensus toward Caiado for fourth place amid vote fragmentation on the right. Cury’s recent gains have compressed opportunities for others, while institutional tensions around the Supreme Court and economic concerns sustain polarization that limits late shifts. Any surge in smaller candidacies or turnout differences in key states could reorder the lower tier before ballots close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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