Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win California's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong D+17 partisan lean, long-serving incumbent Rep. Zoe Lofgren's reelection bid, and her dominant historical margins—64.6% in 2024 and 65.9% in 2022. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lofgren boasts superior fundraising ($717,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) against underfunded challengers, including one minor Republican, Shane Lewis, positioning her to advance easily. While Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others reinforce this, potential shifts could arise from a primary upset, Lofgren's retirement or health issues at age 78, a late strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -18 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$29,278 वॉल्यूम
$29,278 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$29,278 वॉल्यूम
$29,278 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,979 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$14,299 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win California's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong D+17 partisan lean, long-serving incumbent Rep. Zoe Lofgren's reelection bid, and her dominant historical margins—64.6% in 2024 and 65.9% in 2022. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lofgren boasts superior fundraising ($717,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) against underfunded challengers, including one minor Republican, Shane Lewis, positioning her to advance easily. While Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others reinforce this, potential shifts could arise from a primary upset, Lofgren's retirement or health issues at age 78, a late strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,278समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win California's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong D+17 partisan lean, long-serving incumbent Rep. Zoe Lofgren's reelection bid, and her dominant historical margins—64.6% in 2024 and 65.9% in 2022. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lofgren boasts superior fundraising ($717,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) against underfunded challengers, including one minor Republican, Shane Lewis, positioning her to advance easily. While Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others reinforce this, potential shifts could arise from a primary upset, Lofgren's retirement or health issues at age 78, a late strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$29,278समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win California's 18th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong D+17 partisan lean, long-serving incumbent Rep. Zoe Lofgren's reelection bid, and her dominant historical margins—64.6% in 2024 and 65.9% in 2022. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Lofgren boasts superior fundraising ($717,000 cash on hand as of late 2025) against underfunded challengers, including one minor Republican, Shane Lewis, positioning her to advance easily. While Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others reinforce this, potential shifts could arise from a primary upset, Lofgren's retirement or health issues at age 78, a late strong GOP recruit, or a national Republican midterm wave.
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