Ryan Elijah secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 7th congressional district in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns and internal party dissatisfaction. Bale Dalton advanced on the Democratic side after a competitive primary that included former Representative Alan Grayson. The district, which leaned Republican by double digits in the prior cycle, carries “Likely Republican” ratings from multiple forecasters, yet recent boundary shifts and modest Democratic gains in 2024 keep the seat competitive. Traders appear to weigh Elijah’s local name recognition as a former television anchor and stronger general-election positioning against Dalton’s military service record and national party support, producing the current 66.5–33 split in implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL-07 House Election Winner
FL-07 House Election Winner
$25,274 वॉल्यूम
$25,274 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रायन एलिजा (रिपब्लिकन)
67%
बेल डाल्टन (ड)
33%
$25,274 वॉल्यूम
$25,274 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रायन एलिजा (रिपब्लिकन)
$14,474 वॉल्यूम
67%
बेल डाल्टन (ड)
$10,800 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 7th congressional district in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns and internal party dissatisfaction. Bale Dalton advanced on the Democratic side after a competitive primary that included former Representative Alan Grayson. The district, which leaned Republican by double digits in the prior cycle, carries “Likely Republican” ratings from multiple forecasters, yet recent boundary shifts and modest Democratic gains in 2024 keep the seat competitive. Traders appear to weigh Elijah’s local name recognition as a former television anchor and stronger general-election positioning against Dalton’s military service record and national party support, producing the current 66.5–33 split in implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,274समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 7th congressional district in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns and internal party dissatisfaction. Bale Dalton advanced on the Democratic side after a competitive primary that included former Representative Alan Grayson. The district, which leaned Republican by double digits in the prior cycle, carries “Likely Republican” ratings from multiple forecasters, yet recent boundary shifts and modest Democratic gains in 2024 keep the seat competitive. Traders appear to weigh Elijah’s local name recognition as a former television anchor and stronger general-election positioning against Dalton’s military service record and national party support, producing the current 66.5–33 split in implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$25,274समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Ryan Elijah secured the Republican nomination for Florida’s 7th congressional district in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns and internal party dissatisfaction. Bale Dalton advanced on the Democratic side after a competitive primary that included former Representative Alan Grayson. The district, which leaned Republican by double digits in the prior cycle, carries “Likely Republican” ratings from multiple forecasters, yet recent boundary shifts and modest Democratic gains in 2024 keep the seat competitive. Traders appear to weigh Elijah’s local name recognition as a former television anchor and stronger general-election positioning against Dalton’s military service record and national party support, producing the current 66.5–33 split in implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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