With over 98% of precincts reporting four days after Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party secured 52.1% of the national party list popular vote—firmly in the 50-54% range implied by trader consensus—driving the 95.2% probability on this outcome. Final pre-election polls from reliable pollsters like Medián (55.5%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (55%) aligned closely, bolstered by record 79.6% turnout reflecting widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán's election-night concession cemented the landslide, projecting Tisza's supermajority. Remaining scenarios to challenge include marginal adjustments from overseas ballots or minor party appeals, though official certification appears imminent with no major disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया50-54% 95.2%
54%+ 3.8%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$573,529 वॉल्यूम
$573,529 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
42% से कम
<1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
95%
54%+
4%
50-54% 95.2%
54%+ 3.8%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$573,529 वॉल्यूम
$573,529 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
42% से कम
$34,359 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42-46%
$21,294 वॉल्यूम
<1%
46-50%
$28,769 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-54%
$88,478 वॉल्यूम
95%
54%+
$400,740 वॉल्यूम
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of precincts reporting four days after Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party secured 52.1% of the national party list popular vote—firmly in the 50-54% range implied by trader consensus—driving the 95.2% probability on this outcome. Final pre-election polls from reliable pollsters like Medián (55.5%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (55%) aligned closely, bolstered by record 79.6% turnout reflecting widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán's election-night concession cemented the landslide, projecting Tisza's supermajority. Remaining scenarios to challenge include marginal adjustments from overseas ballots or minor party appeals, though official certification appears imminent with no major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$573,529समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of precincts reporting four days after Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party secured 52.1% of the national party list popular vote—firmly in the 50-54% range implied by trader consensus—driving the 95.2% probability on this outcome. Final pre-election polls from reliable pollsters like Medián (55.5%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (55%) aligned closely, bolstered by record 79.6% turnout reflecting widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán's election-night concession cemented the landslide, projecting Tisza's supermajority. Remaining scenarios to challenge include marginal adjustments from overseas ballots or minor party appeals, though official certification appears imminent with no major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$573,529समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 98% of precincts reporting four days after Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party secured 52.1% of the national party list popular vote—firmly in the 50-54% range implied by trader consensus—driving the 95.2% probability on this outcome. Final pre-election polls from reliable pollsters like Medián (55.5%) and 21 Kutatóközpont (55%) aligned closely, bolstered by record 79.6% turnout reflecting widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán's election-night concession cemented the landslide, projecting Tisza's supermajority. Remaining scenarios to challenge include marginal adjustments from overseas ballots or minor party appeals, though official certification appears imminent with no major disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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