Recent partial results from Hungary's National Election Office, with over 98% of votes counted as of April 16, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party securing 52.1% of the national list vote—3.13 million votes—driving trader consensus to 95% odds for the 50-54% bin and aligning with pre-election polls like AtlasIntel's accurate 51.9% projection. Record 79.6% turnout, fueled by 73% support among 18-29-year-olds, propelled Tisza to a supermajority of 137 seats, ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz 16-year rule amid economic discontent and corruption fatigue. Finalization awaits diaspora and mail-in ballots, typically Fidesz-leaning, plus a minor recount; significant shifts would require unexpected discrepancies in the remaining 1-2%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया50-54% 95.0%
54%+ 3.9%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,365 वॉल्यूम
$570,365 वॉल्यूम
42% से कम
<1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
95%
54%+
4%
50-54% 95.0%
54%+ 3.9%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,365 वॉल्यूम
$570,365 वॉल्यूम
42% से कम
<1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
95%
54%+
4%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent partial results from Hungary's National Election Office, with over 98% of votes counted as of April 16, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party securing 52.1% of the national list vote—3.13 million votes—driving trader consensus to 95% odds for the 50-54% bin and aligning with pre-election polls like AtlasIntel's accurate 51.9% projection. Record 79.6% turnout, fueled by 73% support among 18-29-year-olds, propelled Tisza to a supermajority of 137 seats, ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz 16-year rule amid economic discontent and corruption fatigue. Finalization awaits diaspora and mail-in ballots, typically Fidesz-leaning, plus a minor recount; significant shifts would require unexpected discrepancies in the remaining 1-2%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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