Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया50-54% 94.5%
54%+ 4.0%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
42% से कम
<1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
95%
54%+
4%
50-54% 94.5%
54%+ 4.0%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
42% से कम
$34,353 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42-46%
$21,294 वॉल्यूम
<1%
46-50%
$28,769 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-54%
$85,209 वॉल्यूम
95%
54%+
$400,580 वॉल्यूम
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$570,205समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$570,205समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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