Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces consistent polling well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent surveys from multiple firms place its projected vote share between roughly 0.4% and 2.4%, with the large majority of results clustering near or under 1%. Defections of sitting MKs to stronger lists such as Yashar have further eroded its base, while opposition parties have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. Gantz has submitted a full slate and pledged to suspend campaigning in the final week if late polls confirm the party will fall short, yet no merger or surge has materialized to alter the trajectory. Trader pricing therefore concentrates on sub-1.25% outcomes as the most probable range given the sustained weakness in current polling averages.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<0.75% 56%
0.75-1.25% 27%
2-3.25% 15%
1.25-2% 10%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
<0.75%
60%
0.75-1.25%
27%
1.25-2%
10%
2-3.25%
15%
3.25%+
5%
<0.75% 56%
0.75-1.25% 27%
2-3.25% 15%
1.25-2% 10%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
<0.75%
$644 वॉल्यूम
60%
0.75-1.25%
$549 वॉल्यूम
27%
1.25-2%
$55 वॉल्यूम
10%
2-3.25%
$55 वॉल्यूम
15%
3.25%+
$324 वॉल्यूम
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces consistent polling well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent surveys from multiple firms place its projected vote share between roughly 0.4% and 2.4%, with the large majority of results clustering near or under 1%. Defections of sitting MKs to stronger lists such as Yashar have further eroded its base, while opposition parties have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. Gantz has submitted a full slate and pledged to suspend campaigning in the final week if late polls confirm the party will fall short, yet no merger or surge has materialized to alter the trajectory. Trader pricing therefore concentrates on sub-1.25% outcomes as the most probable range given the sustained weakness in current polling averages.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,627समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces consistent polling well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent surveys from multiple firms place its projected vote share between roughly 0.4% and 2.4%, with the large majority of results clustering near or under 1%. Defections of sitting MKs to stronger lists such as Yashar have further eroded its base, while opposition parties have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. Gantz has submitted a full slate and pledged to suspend campaigning in the final week if late polls confirm the party will fall short, yet no merger or surge has materialized to alter the trajectory. Trader pricing therefore concentrates on sub-1.25% outcomes as the most probable range given the sustained weakness in current polling averages.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,627समाप्ति तिथि
27 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces consistent polling well below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent surveys from multiple firms place its projected vote share between roughly 0.4% and 2.4%, with the large majority of results clustering near or under 1%. Defections of sitting MKs to stronger lists such as Yashar have further eroded its base, while opposition parties have urged Gantz to withdraw to avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. Gantz has submitted a full slate and pledged to suspend campaigning in the final week if late polls confirm the party will fall short, yet no merger or surge has materialized to alter the trajectory. Trader pricing therefore concentrates on sub-1.25% outcomes as the most probable range given the sustained weakness in current polling averages.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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