Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts (35.5%) from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account @khamenei_ir during April 14-21, reflecting zero posts in the first three days amid the account's bio update labeling him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling his recent death around early March 2026 following U.S. announcements and a cryptic post. Prior activity was sparse, with only six posts from April 1-13—mostly archival quotes from past speeches—suggesting minimal management output during Iran's leadership transition to potential successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. The 15-19 range (15.8%) captures moderate expectations for commemorative or statement reposts, while higher bins trail due to historical low-volume patterns and geopolitical focus on succession dynamics over social media. Markets await the week's close for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKhamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
<5 35%
15-19 22.7%
5-9 9.1%
20-24 3.1%
नया
नया
21 अप्रैल, 2026
<5
35%
5-9
9%
10-14
6%
15-19
23%
20-24
3%
25-29
2%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
2%
55-59
2%
60+
2%
<5 35%
15-19 22.7%
5-9 9.1%
20-24 3.1%
नया
नया
21 अप्रैल, 2026
<5
$706 वॉल्यूम
35%
5-9
$557 वॉल्यूम
9%
10-14
$538 वॉल्यूम
6%
15-19
$625 वॉल्यूम
23%
20-24
$715 वॉल्यूम
3%
25-29
$571 वॉल्यूम
2%
30-34
$568 वॉल्यूम
3%
35-39
$524 वॉल्यूम
3%
40-44
$568 वॉल्यूम
1%
45-49
$585 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-54
$598 वॉल्यूम
2%
55-59
$602 वॉल्यूम
2%
60+
$510 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts (35.5%) from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account @khamenei_ir during April 14-21, reflecting zero posts in the first three days amid the account's bio update labeling him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling his recent death around early March 2026 following U.S. announcements and a cryptic post. Prior activity was sparse, with only six posts from April 1-13—mostly archival quotes from past speeches—suggesting minimal management output during Iran's leadership transition to potential successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. The 15-19 range (15.8%) captures moderate expectations for commemorative or statement reposts, while higher bins trail due to historical low-volume patterns and geopolitical focus on succession dynamics over social media. Markets await the week's close for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,641समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts (35.5%) from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account @khamenei_ir during April 14-21, reflecting zero posts in the first three days amid the account's bio update labeling him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling his recent death around early March 2026 following U.S. announcements and a cryptic post. Prior activity was sparse, with only six posts from April 1-13—mostly archival quotes from past speeches—suggesting minimal management output during Iran's leadership transition to potential successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. The 15-19 range (15.8%) captures moderate expectations for commemorative or statement reposts, while higher bins trail due to historical low-volume patterns and geopolitical focus on succession dynamics over social media. Markets await the week's close for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$7,641समाप्ति तिथि
21 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts (35.5%) from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account @khamenei_ir during April 14-21, reflecting zero posts in the first three days amid the account's bio update labeling him the "martyred Leader of the Islamic Revolution," signaling his recent death around early March 2026 following U.S. announcements and a cryptic post. Prior activity was sparse, with only six posts from April 1-13—mostly archival quotes from past speeches—suggesting minimal management output during Iran's leadership transition to potential successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. The 15-19 range (15.8%) captures moderate expectations for commemorative or statement reposts, while higher bins trail due to historical low-volume patterns and geopolitical focus on succession dynamics over social media. Markets await the week's close for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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