Incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie leads Polymarket trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability to win Kentucky's 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, outpacing Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein at 30.6%, with others negligible. Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (April 6-7, LV: Massie 47%, Gallrein 38%) and BIGDATAPOLL (April 3-7, LV: Massie 52%, Gallrein 48%), show Massie holding narrow leads, bolstered by his strong Q1 fundraising ($2.5 million) and appeal to younger voters prioritizing principled stances over strict Trump alignment. Trump's district rally and endorsement have narrowed the gap among older voters, but traders weigh Massie's incumbency advantage and polling edge higher in this closely contested GOP primary matchup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाथॉमस मैसी 69%
एड गैलरेन 30.6%
निकोल ली एथिंगटन <1%
रॉबर्ट वेल्स जूनियर <1%
$256,662 वॉल्यूम
$256,662 वॉल्यूम
थॉमस मैसी
69%
एड गैलरेन
31%
निकोल ली एथिंगटन
<1%
रॉबर्ट वेल्स जूनियर
<1%
थॉमस मैसी 69%
एड गैलरेन 30.6%
निकोल ली एथिंगटन <1%
रॉबर्ट वेल्स जूनियर <1%
$256,662 वॉल्यूम
$256,662 वॉल्यूम
थॉमस मैसी
69%
एड गैलरेन
31%
निकोल ली एथिंगटन
<1%
रॉबर्ट वेल्स जूनियर
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 1, 2025, 4:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie leads Polymarket trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability to win Kentucky's 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, outpacing Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein at 30.6%, with others negligible. Recent polls, including Quantus Insights (April 6-7, LV: Massie 47%, Gallrein 38%) and BIGDATAPOLL (April 3-7, LV: Massie 52%, Gallrein 48%), show Massie holding narrow leads, bolstered by his strong Q1 fundraising ($2.5 million) and appeal to younger voters prioritizing principled stances over strict Trump alignment. Trump's district rally and endorsement have narrowed the gap among older voters, but traders weigh Massie's incumbency advantage and polling edge higher in this closely contested GOP primary matchup.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न