Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance reveal substantial uncertainty in the overnight low for Austin on September 6, with projected minima spanning cool frontal passage scenarios to warmer, more stable air masses. This drives the market's tight clustering around both sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speeds can alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical Austin lows near 70°F, but current steering patterns and upstream high-pressure positioning introduce model spread that traders weigh against resolution thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and influence further positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे कम तापमान?
6 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे कम तापमान?
86°F या उससे अधिक 59%
68-69°F 50%
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 49%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
2%
68-69°F
50%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
29%
86°F या उससे अधिक
59%
86°F या उससे अधिक 59%
68-69°F 50%
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 49%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
68-69°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
70-71°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
72-73°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
76-77°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
78-79°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
80-81°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
82-83°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
30%
84-85°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
86°F या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance reveal substantial uncertainty in the overnight low for Austin on September 6, with projected minima spanning cool frontal passage scenarios to warmer, more stable air masses. This drives the market's tight clustering around both sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speeds can alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical Austin lows near 70°F, but current steering patterns and upstream high-pressure positioning introduce model spread that traders weigh against resolution thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and influence further positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance reveal substantial uncertainty in the overnight low for Austin on September 6, with projected minima spanning cool frontal passage scenarios to warmer, more stable air masses. This drives the market's tight clustering around both sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speeds can alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical Austin lows near 70°F, but current steering patterns and upstream high-pressure positioning introduce model spread that traders weigh against resolution thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and influence further positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance reveal substantial uncertainty in the overnight low for Austin on September 6, with projected minima spanning cool frontal passage scenarios to warmer, more stable air masses. This drives the market's tight clustering around both sub-68°F and 86°F-plus outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speeds can alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical Austin lows near 70°F, but current steering patterns and upstream high-pressure positioning introduce model spread that traders weigh against resolution thresholds. Updated short-range forecasts expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range and influence further positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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