Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
21 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
34%
24°C
34%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 34%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$49 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
34%
24°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
34%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
29°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$479समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$479समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions over Luzon, including persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity, represent the main driver keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal norms for Manila. PAGASA forecasts for August 21 indicate a daily range of 26–32°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with AccuWeather guidance showing typical August minima of 24–27°C. Recent model consensus and climatological baselines around 25°C support the market’s elevated implied probability on 22°C or below, while the tight clustering around 23–28°C reflects ongoing uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under variable rainfall. Official PAGASA station readings the following morning will determine resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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