Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature reaching 11°C on April 29, driven by consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project overnight and early morning lows near 11°C amid persistent moderate rain and northeast winds advecting cooler air masses. Current observations show morning temperatures around 11–12°C with light rain and dense cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling, aligning with late-April climatological norms where average lows hover at 11°C. The 25.5% odds on 10°C reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind shifts or heavier cloud breaks, but high moisture levels favor stability; official station data will resolve by midnight, with hourly updates tracking any deviations through the diurnal cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$15,650 वॉल्यूम
$15,650 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$15,650 वॉल्यूम
$15,650 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
5°C or below
$930 वॉल्यूम
No
6°C
$374 वॉल्यूम
No
7°C
$363 वॉल्यूम
No
8°C
$1,601 वॉल्यूम
No
9°C
$1,411 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$6,759 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$2,852 वॉल्यूम
Yes
12°C
$377 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$68 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$375 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C or higher
$539 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature reaching 11°C on April 29, driven by consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project overnight and early morning lows near 11°C amid persistent moderate rain and northeast winds advecting cooler air masses. Current observations show morning temperatures around 11–12°C with light rain and dense cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling, aligning with late-April climatological norms where average lows hover at 11°C. The 25.5% odds on 10°C reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind shifts or heavier cloud breaks, but high moisture levels favor stability; official station data will resolve by midnight, with hourly updates tracking any deviations through the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,650समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature reaching 11°C on April 29, driven by consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project overnight and early morning lows near 11°C amid persistent moderate rain and northeast winds advecting cooler air masses. Current observations show morning temperatures around 11–12°C with light rain and dense cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling, aligning with late-April climatological norms where average lows hover at 11°C. The 25.5% odds on 10°C reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind shifts or heavier cloud breaks, but high moisture levels favor stability; official station data will resolve by midnight, with hourly updates tracking any deviations through the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$15,650समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for Shanghai's lowest temperature reaching 11°C on April 29, driven by consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those on AccuWeather and Weather.com, which project overnight and early morning lows near 11°C amid persistent moderate rain and northeast winds advecting cooler air masses. Current observations show morning temperatures around 11–12°C with light rain and dense cloud cover inhibiting radiative cooling, aligning with late-April climatological norms where average lows hover at 11°C. The 25.5% odds on 10°C reflect minor uncertainty from potential wind shifts or heavier cloud breaks, but high moisture levels favor stability; official station data will resolve by midnight, with hourly updates tracking any deviations through the diurnal cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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