Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,606 वॉल्यूम
$17,606 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
नहीं
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,606 वॉल्यूम
$17,606 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
$1,185 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$655 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$1,185 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$2,515 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$4,968 वॉल्यूम
Yes
16°C
$2,338 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$385 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$734 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$936 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$443 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C or higher
$2,260 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,606समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$17,606समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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