Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding re-election prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win the House seat. The district's D+6 partisan lean, evidenced by Keating's 56% victory in 2024 and consistent 56-61% margins since 2020, combined with his superior fundraising—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican Tyler MacAllister's $65,000—solidify this positioning amid an early cycle lacking competitive polling. Macallister's March announcement as a fisherman and former selectman challenger has drawn little movement. Scenarios challenging this include a Keating primary upset by Craig Swallow on September 1, a GOP national wave, or late scandal, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMA-09 House Election Winner
MA-09 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$250 वॉल्यूम
92%
Republican Party
$1,289 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding re-election prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win the House seat. The district's D+6 partisan lean, evidenced by Keating's 56% victory in 2024 and consistent 56-61% margins since 2020, combined with his superior fundraising—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican Tyler MacAllister's $65,000—solidify this positioning amid an early cycle lacking competitive polling. Macallister's March announcement as a fisherman and former selectman challenger has drawn little movement. Scenarios challenging this include a Keating primary upset by Craig Swallow on September 1, a GOP national wave, or late scandal, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,539समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding re-election prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win the House seat. The district's D+6 partisan lean, evidenced by Keating's 56% victory in 2024 and consistent 56-61% margins since 2020, combined with his superior fundraising—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican Tyler MacAllister's $65,000—solidify this positioning amid an early cycle lacking competitive polling. Macallister's March announcement as a fisherman and former selectman challenger has drawn little movement. Scenarios challenging this include a Keating primary upset by Craig Swallow on September 1, a GOP national wave, or late scandal, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,539समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Keating's commanding re-election prospects in Massachusetts' 9th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats above 90% to win the House seat. The district's D+6 partisan lean, evidenced by Keating's 56% victory in 2024 and consistent 56-61% margins since 2020, combined with his superior fundraising—over $500,000 cash on hand versus Republican Tyler MacAllister's $65,000—solidify this positioning amid an early cycle lacking competitive polling. Macallister's March announcement as a fisherman and former selectman challenger has drawn little movement. Scenarios challenging this include a Keating primary upset by Craig Swallow on September 1, a GOP national wave, or late scandal, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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