Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in recent Democratic primary polls, including Suffolk University/Boston Globe (47% to Seth Moulton's 30%) and University of New Hampshire surveys from early April 2026, reinforcing trader consensus on a 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3. Massachusetts has elected only two Republican senators since 1961, and general election hypotheticals show Democrats ahead by 20-36 points even against strong GOP names like former Governor Charlie Baker, who declined to run. The sparse Republican field, led by attorney John Deaton, underscores the state's entrenched partisan advantage. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weaker Democratic nominee, Markey's health concerns at age 80, a late high-profile GOP recruit, or a national Republican wave amid midterms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामैसाचुसेट्स सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
मैसाचुसेट्स सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$12,304 वॉल्यूम
$12,304 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
95%
रिपब्लिकन
5%
$12,304 वॉल्यूम
$12,304 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$7,735 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन
$4,570 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in recent Democratic primary polls, including Suffolk University/Boston Globe (47% to Seth Moulton's 30%) and University of New Hampshire surveys from early April 2026, reinforcing trader consensus on a 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3. Massachusetts has elected only two Republican senators since 1961, and general election hypotheticals show Democrats ahead by 20-36 points even against strong GOP names like former Governor Charlie Baker, who declined to run. The sparse Republican field, led by attorney John Deaton, underscores the state's entrenched partisan advantage. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weaker Democratic nominee, Markey's health concerns at age 80, a late high-profile GOP recruit, or a national Republican wave amid midterms.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,304समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in recent Democratic primary polls, including Suffolk University/Boston Globe (47% to Seth Moulton's 30%) and University of New Hampshire surveys from early April 2026, reinforcing trader consensus on a 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3. Massachusetts has elected only two Republican senators since 1961, and general election hypotheticals show Democrats ahead by 20-36 points even against strong GOP names like former Governor Charlie Baker, who declined to run. The sparse Republican field, led by attorney John Deaton, underscores the state's entrenched partisan advantage. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weaker Democratic nominee, Markey's health concerns at age 80, a late high-profile GOP recruit, or a national Republican wave amid midterms.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$12,304समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey maintains a commanding lead in recent Democratic primary polls, including Suffolk University/Boston Globe (47% to Seth Moulton's 30%) and University of New Hampshire surveys from early April 2026, reinforcing trader consensus on a 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3. Massachusetts has elected only two Republican senators since 1961, and general election hypotheticals show Democrats ahead by 20-36 points even against strong GOP names like former Governor Charlie Baker, who declined to run. The sparse Republican field, led by attorney John Deaton, underscores the state's entrenched partisan advantage. Scenarios challenging this include a primary upset yielding a weaker Democratic nominee, Markey's health concerns at age 80, a late high-profile GOP recruit, or a national Republican wave amid midterms.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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