Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' April 2025 announcement to seek Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat created an open race in the D+9 leaning MI-11 district, yet trader consensus reflects a commanding Democratic edge at 92.5% implied probability, driven by the district's consistent Democratic performance—Stevens won by 58% in 2024 and 61% in 2022—and a robust primary field led by well-funded state Sen. Jeremy Moss, endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primaries as the next key event. Upsets would require a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or a Democratic nominee scandal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMI -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MI -11 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
$40,526 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$35,998 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$4,529 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' April 2025 announcement to seek Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat created an open race in the D+9 leaning MI-11 district, yet trader consensus reflects a commanding Democratic edge at 92.5% implied probability, driven by the district's consistent Democratic performance—Stevens won by 58% in 2024 and 61% in 2022—and a robust primary field led by well-funded state Sen. Jeremy Moss, endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primaries as the next key event. Upsets would require a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or a Democratic nominee scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40,526समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' April 2025 announcement to seek Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat created an open race in the D+9 leaning MI-11 district, yet trader consensus reflects a commanding Democratic edge at 92.5% implied probability, driven by the district's consistent Democratic performance—Stevens won by 58% in 2024 and 61% in 2022—and a robust primary field led by well-funded state Sen. Jeremy Moss, endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primaries as the next key event. Upsets would require a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or a Democratic nominee scandal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$40,526समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' April 2025 announcement to seek Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat created an open race in the D+9 leaning MI-11 district, yet trader consensus reflects a commanding Democratic edge at 92.5% implied probability, driven by the district's consistent Democratic performance—Stevens won by 58% in 2024 and 61% in 2022—and a robust primary field led by well-funded state Sen. Jeremy Moss, endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Republicans field lesser-known candidates with minimal fundraising. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primaries as the next key event. Upsets would require a high-profile GOP recruit, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, or a Democratic nominee scandal.
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