Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over progressive challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary—49.2% to 48.2% amid a brief recount scare—has locked in her nomination for North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a D+23 seat per Cook PVI rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats stems from the district's post-2025 redistricting blue tilt, Foushee's proven fundraising edge ($555K receipts vs. GOP nominee Mahesh Ganorkar's $4K), and the Republican's unopposed primary advance signaling weak opposition. While commanding, odds could shift via Foushee scandal, Republican midterm wave, or late GOP funding surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNC -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NC -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$12,161 वॉल्यूम
$12,161 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$12,161 वॉल्यूम
$12,161 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$7,547 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$4,613 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over progressive challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary—49.2% to 48.2% amid a brief recount scare—has locked in her nomination for North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a D+23 seat per Cook PVI rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats stems from the district's post-2025 redistricting blue tilt, Foushee's proven fundraising edge ($555K receipts vs. GOP nominee Mahesh Ganorkar's $4K), and the Republican's unopposed primary advance signaling weak opposition. While commanding, odds could shift via Foushee scandal, Republican midterm wave, or late GOP funding surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,161समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over progressive challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary—49.2% to 48.2% amid a brief recount scare—has locked in her nomination for North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a D+23 seat per Cook PVI rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats stems from the district's post-2025 redistricting blue tilt, Foushee's proven fundraising edge ($555K receipts vs. GOP nominee Mahesh Ganorkar's $4K), and the Republican's unopposed primary advance signaling weak opposition. While commanding, odds could shift via Foushee scandal, Republican midterm wave, or late GOP funding surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,161समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over progressive challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary—49.2% to 48.2% amid a brief recount scare—has locked in her nomination for North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a D+23 seat per Cook PVI rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats stems from the district's post-2025 redistricting blue tilt, Foushee's proven fundraising edge ($555K receipts vs. GOP nominee Mahesh Ganorkar's $4K), and the Republican's unopposed primary advance signaling weak opposition. While commanding, odds could shift via Foushee scandal, Republican midterm wave, or late GOP funding surge ahead of the November 3 general election.
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