Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, certified by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, show President Gustavo Petro's Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing 25 seats in the 108-seat Senate via nationwide proportional representation—the largest bloc but short of a majority. This vote share of approximately 22-23% translated into the leading position amid a fragmented field, with Centro Democrático close behind, solidifying trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for the 24-26 range as the skin-in-the-game benchmark. While minor recounts in tight races concluded without changes, potential legal challenges or adjustments to special indigenous seats could theoretically shift the tally by 1-2, though such scenarios remain remote ahead of May's presidential vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24-26 96.8%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
18 से कम <1%
$121,594 वॉल्यूम
$121,594 वॉल्यूम
18 से कम
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
<1%
24-26
97%
27-29
1%
30+
<1%
24-26 96.8%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
18 से कम <1%
$121,594 वॉल्यूम
$121,594 वॉल्यूम
18 से कम
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
<1%
24-26
97%
27-29
1%
30+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, certified by the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil, show President Gustavo Petro's Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing 25 seats in the 108-seat Senate via nationwide proportional representation—the largest bloc but short of a majority. This vote share of approximately 22-23% translated into the leading position amid a fragmented field, with Centro Democrático close behind, solidifying trader consensus at 96.8% implied probability for the 24-26 range as the skin-in-the-game benchmark. While minor recounts in tight races concluded without changes, potential legal challenges or adjustments to special indigenous seats could theoretically shift the tally by 1-2, though such scenarios remain remote ahead of May's presidential vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न