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पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर

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पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर

केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+ 84.3%

केइको फुजिमोरी <5% 14.3%

अन्य 2.9%

राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 15%+ <1%

Polymarket

$298,659 वॉल्यूम

केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+ 84.3%

केइको फुजिमोरी <5% 14.3%

अन्य 2.9%

राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 15%+ <1%

Polymarket

$298,659 वॉल्यूम

क्या राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 2026 के पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में कम से कम 15% से जीतेंगे? icon

राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 15%+

$8,336 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 2026 के पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में 10% से 15% के बीच जीतेंगे? icon

राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 10-15%

$10,022 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 2026 के पेरू के राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में 5% से 10% के बीच अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 5-10%

$6,707 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या राफेल लोपेज़ अलीआगा 2026 के पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में 5% से कम अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

राफेल लोपेज़ अलीआगा <5%

$11,227 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ 2026 पेरू के राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले चरण में कम से कम 5% से जीतेंगे? icon

अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ 5%+

$6,911 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ 2026 के पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में 5% से कम अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ <5%

$6,047 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या केइको फुजीमोरी 2026 के पेरूवियन राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में कम से कम 5% से जीतेंगी? icon

केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+

$84,314 वॉल्यूम

84%

क्या केइको फुजिमोरी 2026 के पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में 5% से कम अंतर से जीतेंगी? icon

केइको फुजिमोरी <5%

$112,587 वॉल्यूम

14%

क्या जोर्ज निएतो 2026 के पेरूवियन राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में किसी भी अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

जोर्ज निएतो

$6,335 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या रोबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो 2026 के पेरूवियन राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर को किसी भी अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

रोबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो

$10,618 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो 2026 के पेरू के राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में किसी भी अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो

$4,420 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या कार्लोस अल्वारेज़ 2026 के पेरूवियन राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर में किसी भी अंतर से जीतेंगे? icon

कार्लोस अल्वारेज़

$5,810 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या 2026 के पेरूवियन राष्ट्रपति चुनावों के पहले दौर में कोई अन्य परिणाम होगा? icon

अन्य

$25,780 वॉल्यूम

3%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round with about 17% of votes as ONPE tallies exceed 93% of ballot boxes, her margin over second-place Roberto Sánchez holding near 5% while Rafael López Aliaga trails the runner-up spot by roughly 10,000 votes in a fragmented field of over 30 candidates. Logistical failures delayed voting into a second day and slowed counting, sparking unsubstantiated fraud allegations from López Aliaga, but no evidence has emerged to alter official trends. Trader consensus at 84% for Fujimori's 5%+ victory margin reflects pre-election polls consistently showing her plurality lead amid voter fatigue with instability, with remaining actas from Lima and abroad unlikely to erase the gap ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$298,659
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round with about 17% of votes as ONPE tallies exceed 93% of ballot boxes, her margin over second-place Roberto Sánchez holding near 5% while Rafael López Aliaga trails the runner-up spot by roughly 10,000 votes in a fragmented field of over 30 candidates. Logistical failures delayed voting into a second day and slowed counting, sparking unsubstantiated fraud allegations from López Aliaga, but no evidence has emerged to alter official trends. Trader consensus at 84% for Fujimori's 5%+ victory margin reflects pre-election polls consistently showing her plurality lead amid voter fatigue with instability, with remaining actas from Lima and abroad unlikely to erase the gap ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$298,659
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर" Polymarket पर 13 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+ 84% (84¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद केइको फुजिमोरी <5% 14% पर है।

आज तक, "पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर" ने कुल $298.7K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 23, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 13 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+" 84% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "केइको फुजिमोरी <5%" 14% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।