Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical precedents like the 2021 contest's approximately 74% amid compulsory voting for ages 18-70, tempered by recent urban apathy. Logistical breakdowns—ballot shortages delaying Lima polls and extending voting for over 60,000—sparked early reports of low queues in the capital, where fragmentation among 35 candidates exacerbated disillusionment from a decade of instability with multiple interim presidents. Preliminary ONPE tallies show around 68% with rural areas undercounted, positioning traders to expect stronger provincial participation and abroad votes (1.2 million) to lift final figures into the leading bin before June 7 runoff certification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया70-75% 82.0%
75-80% 11%
80-85% 4.7%
70% से कम 1.2%
$125,782 वॉल्यूम
$125,782 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
70% से कम
1%
70-75%
82%
75-80%
11%
80-85%
5%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 82.0%
75-80% 11%
80-85% 4.7%
70% से कम 1.2%
$125,782 वॉल्यूम
$125,782 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
70% से कम
$18,854 वॉल्यूम
1%
70-75%
$35,233 वॉल्यूम
82%
75-80%
$19,542 वॉल्यूम
11%
80-85%
$44,329 वॉल्यूम
5%
> 85%
$8,030 वॉल्यूम
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical precedents like the 2021 contest's approximately 74% amid compulsory voting for ages 18-70, tempered by recent urban apathy. Logistical breakdowns—ballot shortages delaying Lima polls and extending voting for over 60,000—sparked early reports of low queues in the capital, where fragmentation among 35 candidates exacerbated disillusionment from a decade of instability with multiple interim presidents. Preliminary ONPE tallies show around 68% with rural areas undercounted, positioning traders to expect stronger provincial participation and abroad votes (1.2 million) to lift final figures into the leading bin before June 7 runoff certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$125,782समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical precedents like the 2021 contest's approximately 74% amid compulsory voting for ages 18-70, tempered by recent urban apathy. Logistical breakdowns—ballot shortages delaying Lima polls and extending voting for over 60,000—sparked early reports of low queues in the capital, where fragmentation among 35 candidates exacerbated disillusionment from a decade of instability with multiple interim presidents. Preliminary ONPE tallies show around 68% with rural areas undercounted, positioning traders to expect stronger provincial participation and abroad votes (1.2 million) to lift final figures into the leading bin before June 7 runoff certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
वॉल्यूम
$125,782समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, reflecting historical precedents like the 2021 contest's approximately 74% amid compulsory voting for ages 18-70, tempered by recent urban apathy. Logistical breakdowns—ballot shortages delaying Lima polls and extending voting for over 60,000—sparked early reports of low queues in the capital, where fragmentation among 35 candidates exacerbated disillusionment from a decade of instability with multiple interim presidents. Preliminary ONPE tallies show around 68% with rural areas undercounted, positioning traders to expect stronger provincial participation and abroad votes (1.2 million) to lift final figures into the leading bin before June 7 runoff certification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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