United Russia's 96.8% implied probability as the State Duma election winner reflects trader consensus on its entrenched dominance in the parallel voting system—projected 30-41% in recent FOM and WCIOM party-list polls (early April 2026) amplified by sweeps in single-mandate constituencies via administrative resources and incumbency advantages. Recent preparations include United Russia's electronic primaries for deputy renewal, Kremlin scaling back war veteran candidacies (April 2) amid internal purges, and improved 2025 regional results despite economic pressures like rising prices noted in February. Opposition faces high barriers, including candidate disqualifications and CEC oversight. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, war setback, or improbable opposition surge before the September 20 deadline, though historical patterns favor continuity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयायूनाइटेड रशिया (ईआर) 96.8%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
सिविक प्लेटफ़ॉर्म (GP) <1%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) <1%
$924,722 वॉल्यूम
$924,722 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रशिया (ईआर)
97%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
1%
सिविक प्लेटफ़ॉर्म (GP)
1%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
1%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (एलडीपीआर)
1%
ए जस्ट रूसिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
1%
रोदीना
<1%
यूनाइटेड रशिया (ईआर) 96.8%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
सिविक प्लेटफ़ॉर्म (GP) <1%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) <1%
$924,722 वॉल्यूम
$924,722 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रशिया (ईआर)
$472,394 वॉल्यूम
97%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
$77,518 वॉल्यूम
1%
सिविक प्लेटफ़ॉर्म (GP)
$80,162 वॉल्यूम
1%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
$53,766 वॉल्यूम
1%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (एलडीपीआर)
$31,711 वॉल्यूम
1%
ए जस्ट रूसिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
$133,959 वॉल्यूम
1%
रोदीना
$75,210 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's 96.8% implied probability as the State Duma election winner reflects trader consensus on its entrenched dominance in the parallel voting system—projected 30-41% in recent FOM and WCIOM party-list polls (early April 2026) amplified by sweeps in single-mandate constituencies via administrative resources and incumbency advantages. Recent preparations include United Russia's electronic primaries for deputy renewal, Kremlin scaling back war veteran candidacies (April 2) amid internal purges, and improved 2025 regional results despite economic pressures like rising prices noted in February. Opposition faces high barriers, including candidate disqualifications and CEC oversight. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, war setback, or improbable opposition surge before the September 20 deadline, though historical patterns favor continuity.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$924,722समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's 96.8% implied probability as the State Duma election winner reflects trader consensus on its entrenched dominance in the parallel voting system—projected 30-41% in recent FOM and WCIOM party-list polls (early April 2026) amplified by sweeps in single-mandate constituencies via administrative resources and incumbency advantages. Recent preparations include United Russia's electronic primaries for deputy renewal, Kremlin scaling back war veteran candidacies (April 2) amid internal purges, and improved 2025 regional results despite economic pressures like rising prices noted in February. Opposition faces high barriers, including candidate disqualifications and CEC oversight. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, war setback, or improbable opposition surge before the September 20 deadline, though historical patterns favor continuity.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
वॉल्यूम
$924,722समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's 96.8% implied probability as the State Duma election winner reflects trader consensus on its entrenched dominance in the parallel voting system—projected 30-41% in recent FOM and WCIOM party-list polls (early April 2026) amplified by sweeps in single-mandate constituencies via administrative resources and incumbency advantages. Recent preparations include United Russia's electronic primaries for deputy renewal, Kremlin scaling back war veteran candidacies (April 2) amid internal purges, and improved 2025 regional results despite economic pressures like rising prices noted in February. Opposition faces high barriers, including candidate disqualifications and CEC oversight. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, war setback, or improbable opposition surge before the September 20 deadline, though historical patterns favor continuity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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