Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland House of Representatives election before 2027 at 75%, reflecting the National Electoral Commission's official postponement from May 2026 to March 2027, announced earlier this year amid drought, security concerns in Sool and Sanaag, and logistical hurdles. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (UCID), elected in November 2024, reiterated in his April 14 parliamentary address that delays threaten democratic stability but affirmed the NEC's authority over timelines, with no reversal signaled. Kulmiye (14.9%) and UCID (13.9%), the former ruling and current presidential parties, lead due to strong clan bases and recent electoral momentum, while Waddani (1.4%) lags; upcoming NEC announcements could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
सोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 75%
कुलमिये 14.9%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 13.9%
वदानी 1.4%
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
75%
कुलमिये
15%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
14%
वदानी
1%
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 75%
कुलमिये 14.9%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 13.9%
वदानी 1.4%
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
$8,480 वॉल्यूम
75%
कुलमिये
$2,187 वॉल्यूम
15%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
$3,751 वॉल्यूम
14%
वदानी
$1,865 वॉल्यूम
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland House of Representatives election before 2027 at 75%, reflecting the National Electoral Commission's official postponement from May 2026 to March 2027, announced earlier this year amid drought, security concerns in Sool and Sanaag, and logistical hurdles. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (UCID), elected in November 2024, reiterated in his April 14 parliamentary address that delays threaten democratic stability but affirmed the NEC's authority over timelines, with no reversal signaled. Kulmiye (14.9%) and UCID (13.9%), the former ruling and current presidential parties, lead due to strong clan bases and recent electoral momentum, while Waddani (1.4%) lags; upcoming NEC announcements could shift odds.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,283समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland House of Representatives election before 2027 at 75%, reflecting the National Electoral Commission's official postponement from May 2026 to March 2027, announced earlier this year amid drought, security concerns in Sool and Sanaag, and logistical hurdles. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (UCID), elected in November 2024, reiterated in his April 14 parliamentary address that delays threaten democratic stability but affirmed the NEC's authority over timelines, with no reversal signaled. Kulmiye (14.9%) and UCID (13.9%), the former ruling and current presidential parties, lead due to strong clan bases and recent electoral momentum, while Waddani (1.4%) lags; upcoming NEC announcements could shift odds.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
वॉल्यूम
$16,283समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland House of Representatives election before 2027 at 75%, reflecting the National Electoral Commission's official postponement from May 2026 to March 2027, announced earlier this year amid drought, security concerns in Sool and Sanaag, and logistical hurdles. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi (UCID), elected in November 2024, reiterated in his April 14 parliamentary address that delays threaten democratic stability but affirmed the NEC's authority over timelines, with no reversal signaled. Kulmiye (14.9%) and UCID (13.9%), the former ruling and current presidential parties, lead due to strong clan bases and recent electoral momentum, while Waddani (1.4%) lags; upcoming NEC announcements could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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