Incumbent Republican Gov. Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open race for South Carolina's November 3 gubernatorial election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP nominee at 87% implied probability due to the state's entrenched Republican trifecta, supermajority legislature, and unbroken string of GOP governors since 1995. Recent March polls of the June 9 Republican primary reveal a fragmented field led narrowly by Rep. Nancy Mace (18-22%) and Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette (18-19%), trailed by AG Alan Wilson (15-22%) and Rep. Ralph Norman (10-13%), with over 30% undecided amid high fundraising and debate activity. Wilson's April 15 launch of his first statewide TV ad emphasizing military service underscores intensifying primary competition, while Democrats' weak field—led by Rep. Jermaine Johnson at 25% in early polls—faces steep historical barriers in this deep-red swing-state battleground.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Republican
87%

Democrat
12%

Republican
87%

Democrat
12%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Henry McMaster's term limit creates an open race for South Carolina's November 3 gubernatorial election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP nominee at 87% implied probability due to the state's entrenched Republican trifecta, supermajority legislature, and unbroken string of GOP governors since 1995. Recent March polls of the June 9 Republican primary reveal a fragmented field led narrowly by Rep. Nancy Mace (18-22%) and Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette (18-19%), trailed by AG Alan Wilson (15-22%) and Rep. Ralph Norman (10-13%), with over 30% undecided amid high fundraising and debate activity. Wilson's April 15 launch of his first statewide TV ad emphasizing military service underscores intensifying primary competition, while Democrats' weak field—led by Rep. Jermaine Johnson at 25% in early polls—faces steep historical barriers in this deep-red swing-state battleground.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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