Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remain locked in a tight Republican primary runoff poll average ahead of the May 26 contest, with recent surveys like Coefficient's April 14 showing Cornyn at 44% to Paxton's 43% among likely voters, positioning the GOP nominee as trader consensus favorite at 57% to hold the Texas Senate seat. Democratic nominee State Rep. James Talarico bolstered his challenge with a record-breaking $27 million Q1 fundraising haul announced April 15, fueling general election viability in this battleground matchup. March head-to-head polls depicted Talarico edging both Republicans by 4-6 points (e.g., PPP: Talarico 48%-42% over Cornyn), yet markets reflect Texas' GOP lean, incumbency edge, and historical overperformance by Republican turnout in swing state contests, with resolution post-November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाटेक्सास सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
टेक्सास सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$175,735 वॉल्यूम
$175,735 वॉल्यूम

रिपब्लिकन
57%

डेमोक्रेट
43%
$175,735 वॉल्यूम
$175,735 वॉल्यूम

रिपब्लिकन
57%

डेमोक्रेट
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remain locked in a tight Republican primary runoff poll average ahead of the May 26 contest, with recent surveys like Coefficient's April 14 showing Cornyn at 44% to Paxton's 43% among likely voters, positioning the GOP nominee as trader consensus favorite at 57% to hold the Texas Senate seat. Democratic nominee State Rep. James Talarico bolstered his challenge with a record-breaking $27 million Q1 fundraising haul announced April 15, fueling general election viability in this battleground matchup. March head-to-head polls depicted Talarico edging both Republicans by 4-6 points (e.g., PPP: Talarico 48%-42% over Cornyn), yet markets reflect Texas' GOP lean, incumbency edge, and historical overperformance by Republican turnout in swing state contests, with resolution post-November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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