Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% probability for President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.0–39.4% range per the Silver Bulletin polling average as of May 1, 2026, reflecting the aggregator's update to exactly 39.1% approve amid a net approval of -18.4%. This commanding position stems from new polls released over the past week— including RMG Research, Reuters/Ipsos, and Economist/YouGov—showing sharp drops driven by voter dissatisfaction with inflation, rising gas prices, cost-of-living pressures (net -41.5%), and the ongoing Iran conflict, pushing the average to a second-term low. While the figure aligns with RealClearPolitics' nearby 40.9% average, any post-release revision to Silver Bulletin data or polling error could theoretically challenge resolution, though such shifts are rare once finalized.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
$34,561 वॉल्यूम
$34,561 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
$34,561 वॉल्यूम
$34,561 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
<38.0
$3,118 वॉल्यूम
No
38.0–38.4
$2,897 वॉल्यूम
No
38.5–38.9
$4,183 वॉल्यूम
No
39.0–39.4
$10,949 वॉल्यूम
Yes
39.5–39.9
$6,975 वॉल्यूम
No
40.0+
$6,438 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% probability for President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.0–39.4% range per the Silver Bulletin polling average as of May 1, 2026, reflecting the aggregator's update to exactly 39.1% approve amid a net approval of -18.4%. This commanding position stems from new polls released over the past week— including RMG Research, Reuters/Ipsos, and Economist/YouGov—showing sharp drops driven by voter dissatisfaction with inflation, rising gas prices, cost-of-living pressures (net -41.5%), and the ongoing Iran conflict, pushing the average to a second-term low. While the figure aligns with RealClearPolitics' nearby 40.9% average, any post-release revision to Silver Bulletin data or polling error could theoretically challenge resolution, though such shifts are rare once finalized.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 24, 2026, 11:19 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,561समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 24, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% probability for President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.0–39.4% range per the Silver Bulletin polling average as of May 1, 2026, reflecting the aggregator's update to exactly 39.1% approve amid a net approval of -18.4%. This commanding position stems from new polls released over the past week— including RMG Research, Reuters/Ipsos, and Economist/YouGov—showing sharp drops driven by voter dissatisfaction with inflation, rising gas prices, cost-of-living pressures (net -41.5%), and the ongoing Iran conflict, pushing the average to a second-term low. While the figure aligns with RealClearPolitics' nearby 40.9% average, any post-release revision to Silver Bulletin data or polling error could theoretically challenge resolution, though such shifts are rare once finalized.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 1, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$34,561समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 24, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% probability for President Trump's approval rating falling in the 39.0–39.4% range per the Silver Bulletin polling average as of May 1, 2026, reflecting the aggregator's update to exactly 39.1% approve amid a net approval of -18.4%. This commanding position stems from new polls released over the past week— including RMG Research, Reuters/Ipsos, and Economist/YouGov—showing sharp drops driven by voter dissatisfaction with inflation, rising gas prices, cost-of-living pressures (net -41.5%), and the ongoing Iran conflict, pushing the average to a second-term low. While the figure aligns with RealClearPolitics' nearby 40.9% average, any post-release revision to Silver Bulletin data or polling error could theoretically challenge resolution, though such shifts are rare once finalized.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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