President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$62,192 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
35%
41%
30%
13%
25%
6%
20%
3%
$62,192 वॉल्यूम
35%
$33,246 वॉल्यूम
41%
30%
$5,391 वॉल्यूम
13%
25%
$1,582 वॉल्यूम
6%
20%
$2,473 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$62,192समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
वॉल्यूम
$62,192समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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