Trump’s approval rating in 2026 has remained subdued amid the ongoing U.S. military involvement in Iran, with recent strikes and associated costs contributing to net negatives around -20 to -25 in major trackers and overall approval near 34-40 percent. Public opposition to the conflict, concerns over inflation and spending, and perceptions that the administration prioritizes other issues have weighed on sentiment. The approach of the November 2026 midterms adds pressure, as historical patterns show approval often influences congressional outcomes and vice versa. Any de-escalation in Iran, progress on domestic priorities, or shifts in economic data could provide upward movement before year-end, while continued conflict or additional controversies would likely constrain gains.