Jon Bonck's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary stems from his dominant first-place finish at 47% in the crowded March 3 primary, advancing to the May runoff against Shelly deZevallos after no candidate reached a majority in the open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid. Trump endorsement, backing from Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Steve Toth, plus Club for Growth support, fueled his momentum in the safe Republican Houston-area district. His latest FEC filing shows $438,000 cash on hand after raising $381,000 post-primary, dwarfing rivals. Challenges could arise from deZevallos' aviation industry ties gaining late traction, a Bonck scandal, or turnout favoring her base ahead of the runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजॉन बॉन्क 90.5%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस 4.2%
जेनिफर सुंदरट 1.0%
बैरेट मैकनेब 1.0%
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
26 मई, 2026
जॉन बॉन्क
91%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस
4%
जेनिफर सुंदरट
1%
बैरेट मैकनेब
1%
कारमेन मोंटियल
1%
क्रेग गोराल्स्की
1%
एवरी आयर्स
1%
माइकल प्रैट
1%
लैरी रूबिन
1%
जेफ यूना
<1%
जॉन बॉन्क 90.5%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस 4.2%
जेनिफर सुंदरट 1.0%
बैरेट मैकनेब 1.0%
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
26 मई, 2026
जॉन बॉन्क
$16,882 वॉल्यूम
91%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस
$3,015 वॉल्यूम
4%
जेनिफर सुंदरट
$2,246 वॉल्यूम
1%
बैरेट मैकनेब
$1,588 वॉल्यूम
1%
कारमेन मोंटियल
$1,468 वॉल्यूम
1%
क्रेग गोराल्स्की
$1,540 वॉल्यूम
1%
एवरी आयर्स
$2,210 वॉल्यूम
1%
माइकल प्रैट
$2,597 वॉल्यूम
1%
लैरी रूबिन
$2,055 वॉल्यूम
1%
जेफ यूना
$2,411 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary stems from his dominant first-place finish at 47% in the crowded March 3 primary, advancing to the May runoff against Shelly deZevallos after no candidate reached a majority in the open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid. Trump endorsement, backing from Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Steve Toth, plus Club for Growth support, fueled his momentum in the safe Republican Houston-area district. His latest FEC filing shows $438,000 cash on hand after raising $381,000 post-primary, dwarfing rivals. Challenges could arise from deZevallos' aviation industry ties gaining late traction, a Bonck scandal, or turnout favoring her base ahead of the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,014समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary stems from his dominant first-place finish at 47% in the crowded March 3 primary, advancing to the May runoff against Shelly deZevallos after no candidate reached a majority in the open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid. Trump endorsement, backing from Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Steve Toth, plus Club for Growth support, fueled his momentum in the safe Republican Houston-area district. His latest FEC filing shows $438,000 cash on hand after raising $381,000 post-primary, dwarfing rivals. Challenges could arise from deZevallos' aviation industry ties gaining late traction, a Bonck scandal, or turnout favoring her base ahead of the runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$36,014समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck's commanding 90.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary stems from his dominant first-place finish at 47% in the crowded March 3 primary, advancing to the May runoff against Shelly deZevallos after no candidate reached a majority in the open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid. Trump endorsement, backing from Sen. Ted Cruz and Rep. Steve Toth, plus Club for Growth support, fueled his momentum in the safe Republican Houston-area district. His latest FEC filing shows $438,000 cash on hand after raising $381,000 post-primary, dwarfing rivals. Challenges could arise from deZevallos' aviation industry ties gaining late traction, a Bonck scandal, or turnout favoring her base ahead of the runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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