The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.3% through early April 2026, dipping to 4.28% recently amid softer-than-expected March core CPI data released April 10, which eased inflation fears and bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Yields edged higher mid-week on resilient economic indicators and lingering geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related risks, keeping bond prices volatile. Traders weigh upcoming Treasury auctions, the April 28-29 FOMC meeting for updated policy projections and dot plot revisions, plus mid-month retail sales and industrial production reports that could signal economic momentum or slowdowns influencing yield paths before month-end resolution. Consensus reflects uncertainty in the 4.2-4.4% range, with skin-in-the-game bets hinging on these catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
↑4.60%
3%
↑4.50%
18%
↑4.45%
23%
↑4.40%
48%
↓4.25%
69%
↓4.20%
55%
↓4.15%
60%
↓4.10%
24%
↓4.00%
7%
$9,429 वॉल्यूम
↑4.60%
$1,490 वॉल्यूम
3%
↑4.50%
$313 वॉल्यूम
18%
↑4.45%
$3,790 वॉल्यूम
23%
↑4.40%
$1,565 वॉल्यूम
48%
↓4.25%
$101 वॉल्यूम
69%
↓4.20%
$0 वॉल्यूम
55%
↓4.15%
$569 वॉल्यूम
60%
↓4.10%
$12 वॉल्यूम
24%
↓4.00%
$1,077 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.3% through early April 2026, dipping to 4.28% recently amid softer-than-expected March core CPI data released April 10, which eased inflation fears and bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Yields edged higher mid-week on resilient economic indicators and lingering geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related risks, keeping bond prices volatile. Traders weigh upcoming Treasury auctions, the April 28-29 FOMC meeting for updated policy projections and dot plot revisions, plus mid-month retail sales and industrial production reports that could signal economic momentum or slowdowns influencing yield paths before month-end resolution. Consensus reflects uncertainty in the 4.2-4.4% range, with skin-in-the-game bets hinging on these catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,429समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or below the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.3% through early April 2026, dipping to 4.28% recently amid softer-than-expected March core CPI data released April 10, which eased inflation fears and bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Yields edged higher mid-week on resilient economic indicators and lingering geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related risks, keeping bond prices volatile. Traders weigh upcoming Treasury auctions, the April 28-29 FOMC meeting for updated policy projections and dot plot revisions, plus mid-month retail sales and industrial production reports that could signal economic momentum or slowdowns influencing yield paths before month-end resolution. Consensus reflects uncertainty in the 4.2-4.4% range, with skin-in-the-game bets hinging on these catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.
Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant day in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.
वॉल्यूम
$9,429समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 2, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has hovered around 4.3% through early April 2026, dipping to 4.28% recently amid softer-than-expected March core CPI data released April 10, which eased inflation fears and bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Yields edged higher mid-week on resilient economic indicators and lingering geopolitical tensions, including Iran-related risks, keeping bond prices volatile. Traders weigh upcoming Treasury auctions, the April 28-29 FOMC meeting for updated policy projections and dot plot revisions, plus mid-month retail sales and industrial production reports that could signal economic momentum or slowdowns influencing yield paths before month-end resolution. Consensus reflects uncertainty in the 4.2-4.4% range, with skin-in-the-game bets hinging on these catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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