Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in solidly Democratic Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by liberal Madison in Dane County, where he has won by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus to 94.5% implied probability of a party hold. Democrats' landslide victory in the April 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court race—liberal Chris Taylor's 20-point win cementing a 5-2 progressive majority—signals robust turnout and midterm momentum in the state, further entrenching WI-02's safe status amid no high-profile Republican challengers ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Upsets remain possible via Pocan retirement, major scandal, strong GOP recruit, or national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
WI -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$32,483 वॉल्यूम
$32,483 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$32,483 वॉल्यूम
$32,483 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$20,671 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$11,812 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in solidly Democratic Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by liberal Madison in Dane County, where he has won by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus to 94.5% implied probability of a party hold. Democrats' landslide victory in the April 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court race—liberal Chris Taylor's 20-point win cementing a 5-2 progressive majority—signals robust turnout and midterm momentum in the state, further entrenching WI-02's safe status amid no high-profile Republican challengers ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Upsets remain possible via Pocan retirement, major scandal, strong GOP recruit, or national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,483समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in solidly Democratic Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by liberal Madison in Dane County, where he has won by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus to 94.5% implied probability of a party hold. Democrats' landslide victory in the April 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court race—liberal Chris Taylor's 20-point win cementing a 5-2 progressive majority—signals robust turnout and midterm momentum in the state, further entrenching WI-02's safe status amid no high-profile Republican challengers ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Upsets remain possible via Pocan retirement, major scandal, strong GOP recruit, or national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,483समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan seeks reelection in solidly Democratic Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by liberal Madison in Dane County, where he has won by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, driving trader consensus to 94.5% implied probability of a party hold. Democrats' landslide victory in the April 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court race—liberal Chris Taylor's 20-point win cementing a 5-2 progressive majority—signals robust turnout and midterm momentum in the state, further entrenching WI-02's safe status amid no high-profile Republican challengers ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. Upsets remain possible via Pocan retirement, major scandal, strong GOP recruit, or national Republican wave, though historical base rates favor retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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