Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising advantage, and the district's underlying Republican tilt across rural northern Arizona and parts of the Navajo Nation. The July 2026 primaries left Crane unopposed on the GOP side while Democrats nominated Jonathan Nez, narrowing the field but leaving the challenger without a broad base to overcome structural headwinds. Trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for Republican-held seats in this region, where turnout among conservative voters and limited crossover support for Democratic candidates typically sustain a modest but durable margin. No major late-breaking developments, such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling shifts, have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
38%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$426 Vol.
63%
Democratic Party
$267 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising advantage, and the district's underlying Republican tilt across rural northern Arizona and parts of the Navajo Nation. The July 2026 primaries left Crane unopposed on the GOP side while Democrats nominated Jonathan Nez, narrowing the field but leaving the challenger without a broad base to overcome structural headwinds. Trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for Republican-held seats in this region, where turnout among conservative voters and limited crossover support for Democratic candidates typically sustain a modest but durable margin. No major late-breaking developments, such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling shifts, have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$693Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising advantage, and the district's underlying Republican tilt across rural northern Arizona and parts of the Navajo Nation. The July 2026 primaries left Crane unopposed on the GOP side while Democrats nominated Jonathan Nez, narrowing the field but leaving the challenger without a broad base to overcome structural headwinds. Trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for Republican-held seats in this region, where turnout among conservative voters and limited crossover support for Democratic candidates typically sustain a modest but durable margin. No major late-breaking developments, such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling shifts, have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$693Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd congressional district race, reflecting the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising advantage, and the district's underlying Republican tilt across rural northern Arizona and parts of the Navajo Nation. The July 2026 primaries left Crane unopposed on the GOP side while Democrats nominated Jonathan Nez, narrowing the field but leaving the challenger without a broad base to overcome structural headwinds. Trader pricing aligns with historical patterns for Republican-held seats in this region, where turnout among conservative voters and limited crossover support for Democratic candidates typically sustain a modest but durable margin. No major late-breaking developments, such as candidate withdrawals or significant polling shifts, have altered the positioning since the primaries concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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