California's 9th congressional district shows a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+1 partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Josh Harder secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with nearly 58 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election against Republican John McBride. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the general election. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the district's recent electoral history and structural advantages for the majority party. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-09 House Election Winner
CA-09 House Election Winner
$15,059 Vol.
$15,059 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$15,059 Vol.
$15,059 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,243 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$3,817 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 9th congressional district shows a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+1 partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Josh Harder secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with nearly 58 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election against Republican John McBride. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the general election. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the district's recent electoral history and structural advantages for the majority party. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$15,059Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 9th congressional district shows a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+1 partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Josh Harder secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with nearly 58 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election against Republican John McBride. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the general election. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the district's recent electoral history and structural advantages for the majority party. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,059Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 9th congressional district shows a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+1 partisan voter index and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans. Incumbent Josh Harder secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with nearly 58 percent of the vote, advancing to the November general election against Republican John McBride. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the general election. Trader consensus on these outcomes aligns with the district's recent electoral history and structural advantages for the majority party. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in recent cycles.
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