Democratic incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in the CT-04 race due to the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting reliable Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the party’s unbroken hold since 2006. Himes benefits from substantial incumbency advantages, including over $1.3 million in campaign funds compared with minimal Republican totals, and he faced no primary opposition after the August 11 contests. Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party’s nomination but operates in a structurally disadvantaged environment. Trader consensus on Democratic victory at 96 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling trends indicate limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,773 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$25,567 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in the CT-04 race due to the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting reliable Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the party’s unbroken hold since 2006. Himes benefits from substantial incumbency advantages, including over $1.3 million in campaign funds compared with minimal Republican totals, and he faced no primary opposition after the August 11 contests. Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party’s nomination but operates in a structurally disadvantaged environment. Trader consensus on Democratic victory at 96 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling trends indicate limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$47,340Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in the CT-04 race due to the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting reliable Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the party’s unbroken hold since 2006. Himes benefits from substantial incumbency advantages, including over $1.3 million in campaign funds compared with minimal Republican totals, and he faced no primary opposition after the August 11 contests. Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party’s nomination but operates in a structurally disadvantaged environment. Trader consensus on Democratic victory at 96 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling trends indicate limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,340Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in the CT-04 race due to the district’s consistent D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting reliable Democratic performance in recent presidential and congressional voting. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the party’s unbroken hold since 2006. Himes benefits from substantial incumbency advantages, including over $1.3 million in campaign funds compared with minimal Republican totals, and he faced no primary opposition after the August 11 contests. Republican nominee Michael Goldstein secured his party’s nomination but operates in a structurally disadvantaged environment. Trader consensus on Democratic victory at 96 percent aligns with these fundamentals. A major scandal, health event affecting Himes, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current polling trends indicate limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan