Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Himes’s 61% margin in 2024. The district encompasses suburban areas including Stamford, Greenwich, and Bridgeport, where Democratic primary voters advanced Himes unopposed while Republicans nominated Michael Goldstein, who previously lost the general election by a wide margin. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by Himes’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the underlying partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference not observed in recent cycles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,773 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$25,567 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Himes’s 61% margin in 2024. The district encompasses suburban areas including Stamford, Greenwich, and Bridgeport, where Democratic primary voters advanced Himes unopposed while Republicans nominated Michael Goldstein, who previously lost the general election by a wide margin. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by Himes’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the underlying partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$47,340Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Himes’s 61% margin in 2024. The district encompasses suburban areas including Stamford, Greenwich, and Bridgeport, where Democratic primary voters advanced Himes unopposed while Republicans nominated Michael Goldstein, who previously lost the general election by a wide margin. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by Himes’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the underlying partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference not observed in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,340Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Connecticut’s 4th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic performance, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Himes’s 61% margin in 2024. The district encompasses suburban areas including Stamford, Greenwich, and Bridgeport, where Democratic primary voters advanced Himes unopposed while Republicans nominated Michael Goldstein, who previously lost the general election by a wide margin. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by Himes’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the underlying partisan balance. A Republican victory would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference not observed in recent cycles.
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