Debbie Wasserman Schultz secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary for Florida’s 20th congressional district after Republican-led redistricting eliminated her prior seat, advancing to face Republican Brent Andersen and independent Kedner Maxime in the November 3 general election. The district’s heavy Democratic tilt, with a Cook PVI around D+20 and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, anchors trader expectations for a sizable victory. Primary results showed Schultz prevailing with roughly 46 percent against a fragmented field of challengers, while Andersen captured the GOP nod by a clear margin; these outcomes have reinforced the implied probability of a Democratic win in the 40-50 point range without introducing new variables in the past month. Low odds on a Republican victory or narrower margins reflect the seat’s structural safety and limited general-election competitiveness ahead of the November vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 40-45% 33.7%
Democrat 45-50% 22%
Democrat 50-55% 20%
Democrat 55-60% 12.3%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 60%+
6%
Democrat 55-60%
12%
Democrat 50-55%
20%
Democrat 45-50%
22%
Democrat 40-45%
34%
Democrat 35-40%
5%
Democrat 30-35%
3%
Democrat 20-30%
7%
Democrat 0-20%
2%
Republican Wins
4%
Democrat 40-45% 33.7%
Democrat 45-50% 22%
Democrat 50-55% 20%
Democrat 55-60% 12.3%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 60%+
$208 Vol.
6%
Democrat 55-60%
$904 Vol.
12%
Democrat 50-55%
$1,067 Vol.
20%
Democrat 45-50%
$929 Vol.
22%
Democrat 40-45%
$662 Vol.
34%
Democrat 35-40%
$133 Vol.
5%
Democrat 30-35%
$1,110 Vol.
3%
Democrat 20-30%
$2,362 Vol.
7%
Democrat 0-20%
$503 Vol.
2%
Republican Wins
$146 Vol.
4%
The 2026 FL-20 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 FL-20 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Debbie Wasserman Schultz secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary for Florida’s 20th congressional district after Republican-led redistricting eliminated her prior seat, advancing to face Republican Brent Andersen and independent Kedner Maxime in the November 3 general election. The district’s heavy Democratic tilt, with a Cook PVI around D+20 and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, anchors trader expectations for a sizable victory. Primary results showed Schultz prevailing with roughly 46 percent against a fragmented field of challengers, while Andersen captured the GOP nod by a clear margin; these outcomes have reinforced the implied probability of a Democratic win in the 40-50 point range without introducing new variables in the past month. Low odds on a Republican victory or narrower margins reflect the seat’s structural safety and limited general-election competitiveness ahead of the November vote.
The 2026 FL-20 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 FL-20 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 FL-20 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$8,024Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 FL-20 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 FL-20 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Debbie Wasserman Schultz secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary for Florida’s 20th congressional district after Republican-led redistricting eliminated her prior seat, advancing to face Republican Brent Andersen and independent Kedner Maxime in the November 3 general election. The district’s heavy Democratic tilt, with a Cook PVI around D+20 and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, anchors trader expectations for a sizable victory. Primary results showed Schultz prevailing with roughly 46 percent against a fragmented field of challengers, while Andersen captured the GOP nod by a clear margin; these outcomes have reinforced the implied probability of a Democratic win in the 40-50 point range without introducing new variables in the past month. Low odds on a Republican victory or narrower margins reflect the seat’s structural safety and limited general-election competitiveness ahead of the November vote.
The 2026 FL-20 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 FL-20 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 FL-20 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,024Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Debbie Wasserman Schultz secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary for Florida’s 20th congressional district after Republican-led redistricting eliminated her prior seat, advancing to face Republican Brent Andersen and independent Kedner Maxime in the November 3 general election. The district’s heavy Democratic tilt, with a Cook PVI around D+20 and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, anchors trader expectations for a sizable victory. Primary results showed Schultz prevailing with roughly 46 percent against a fragmented field of challengers, while Andersen captured the GOP nod by a clear margin; these outcomes have reinforced the implied probability of a Democratic win in the 40-50 point range without introducing new variables in the past month. Low odds on a Republican victory or narrower margins reflect the seat’s structural safety and limited general-election competitiveness ahead of the November vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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