Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state's sustained Republican tilt, her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, and strong party support including from President Trump. Moody secured the Republican nomination with ease and maintains leads in available polling amid superior fundraising. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, a state representative who won her primary in an upset, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent statewide contests. Traders price Moody above 90 percent as a result. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$108,239 Vol.
$108,239 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$108,239 Vol.
$108,239 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
$52,907 Vol.
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,332 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state's sustained Republican tilt, her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, and strong party support including from President Trump. Moody secured the Republican nomination with ease and maintains leads in available polling amid superior fundraising. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, a state representative who won her primary in an upset, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent statewide contests. Traders price Moody above 90 percent as a result. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$108,239Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state's sustained Republican tilt, her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, and strong party support including from President Trump. Moody secured the Republican nomination with ease and maintains leads in available polling amid superior fundraising. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, a state representative who won her primary in an upset, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent statewide contests. Traders price Moody above 90 percent as a result. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$108,239Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state's sustained Republican tilt, her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, and strong party support including from President Trump. Moody secured the Republican nomination with ease and maintains leads in available polling amid superior fundraising. Democratic nominee Angie Nixon, a state representative who won her primary in an upset, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have dominated recent statewide contests. Traders price Moody above 90 percent as a result. Late developments such as a major scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap before the November 3 vote.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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