Georgia's 4th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent and a partisan profile that heavily favors one party in House elections. Hank Johnson has held the seat since 2007 in a district with a Cook PVI of D+27, a majority-Black population, and urban-suburban Atlanta demographics that consistently deliver large Democratic margins. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Johnson advanced easily through the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment remain minimal. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or significant redistricting change before the general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$39,572 Vol.
$39,572 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$39,572 Vol.
$39,572 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,739 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$15,834 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent and a partisan profile that heavily favors one party in House elections. Hank Johnson has held the seat since 2007 in a district with a Cook PVI of D+27, a majority-Black population, and urban-suburban Atlanta demographics that consistently deliver large Democratic margins. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Johnson advanced easily through the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment remain minimal. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or significant redistricting change before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$39,572Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent and a partisan profile that heavily favors one party in House elections. Hank Johnson has held the seat since 2007 in a district with a Cook PVI of D+27, a majority-Black population, and urban-suburban Atlanta demographics that consistently deliver large Democratic margins. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Johnson advanced easily through the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment remain minimal. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or significant redistricting change before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,572Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th congressional district features a long-serving Democratic incumbent and a partisan profile that heavily favors one party in House elections. Hank Johnson has held the seat since 2007 in a district with a Cook PVI of D+27, a majority-Black population, and urban-suburban Atlanta demographics that consistently deliver large Democratic margins. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Johnson advanced easily through the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment remain minimal. Trader consensus at 94% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or significant redistricting change before the general election.
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