Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend following peak warmth near 33°C on September 13, with Ankara expected to see daytime highs of 23–26°C on the 15th under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly or variable winds. This range aligns with trader consensus around 24–25°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by subsidence and reduced insolation compared to earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C or above due to the established cool advection pattern and minimal expected moisture. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF on September 14 will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
25°C 52%
24°C 26%
26°C 17%
29°C or higher 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
52%
26°C
17%
27°C
9%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
9%
25°C 52%
24°C 26%
26°C 17%
29°C or higher 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
20°C
$10 Vol.
4%
21°C
$10 Vol.
4%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$55 Vol.
52%
26°C
$22 Vol.
17%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$4 Vol.
3%
29°C or higher
$10 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend following peak warmth near 33°C on September 13, with Ankara expected to see daytime highs of 23–26°C on the 15th under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly or variable winds. This range aligns with trader consensus around 24–25°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by subsidence and reduced insolation compared to earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C or above due to the established cool advection pattern and minimal expected moisture. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF on September 14 will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$121Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend following peak warmth near 33°C on September 13, with Ankara expected to see daytime highs of 23–26°C on the 15th under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly or variable winds. This range aligns with trader consensus around 24–25°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by subsidence and reduced insolation compared to earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C or above due to the established cool advection pattern and minimal expected moisture. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF on September 14 will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$121Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend following peak warmth near 33°C on September 13, with Ankara expected to see daytime highs of 23–26°C on the 15th under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly or variable winds. This range aligns with trader consensus around 24–25°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by subsidence and reduced insolation compared to earlier in the week. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with lower probabilities assigned to 27°C or above due to the established cool advection pattern and minimal expected moisture. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF on September 14 will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan