Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a cooling influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected over Ankara on September 17, moderating daytime highs into the low 20s°C and supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. This stems from a shift in steering patterns and higher humidity levels that limit solar insolation compared to clearer conditions earlier in the month. Model spread on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast creates the differentiation between the leading probabilities, with drier scenarios allowing brief warming to 23°C or higher. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
22°C 32%
21°C 29%
23°C 19%
20°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
29%
22°C
32%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
8%
22°C 32%
21°C 29%
23°C 19%
20°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$311 Vol.
1%
17°C
$247 Vol.
1%
18°C
$113 Vol.
2%
19°C
$40 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$165 Vol.
29%
22°C
$164 Vol.
32%
23°C
$124 Vol.
19%
24°C or higher
$78 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a cooling influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected over Ankara on September 17, moderating daytime highs into the low 20s°C and supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. This stems from a shift in steering patterns and higher humidity levels that limit solar insolation compared to clearer conditions earlier in the month. Model spread on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast creates the differentiation between the leading probabilities, with drier scenarios allowing brief warming to 23°C or higher. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,653Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a cooling influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected over Ankara on September 17, moderating daytime highs into the low 20s°C and supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. This stems from a shift in steering patterns and higher humidity levels that limit solar insolation compared to clearer conditions earlier in the month. Model spread on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast creates the differentiation between the leading probabilities, with drier scenarios allowing brief warming to 23°C or higher. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,653Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a cooling influence from increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected over Ankara on September 17, moderating daytime highs into the low 20s°C and supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes. This stems from a shift in steering patterns and higher humidity levels that limit solar insolation compared to clearer conditions earlier in the month. Model spread on the exact timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast creates the differentiation between the leading probabilities, with drier scenarios allowing brief warming to 23°C or higher. Official updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan