**Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 20 centers on unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and dry southerly flow, with forecast highs clustered in the upper 90s to around 100°F.** Light winds and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while low rain chances minimize cooling from evaporation or storms. This aligns with Austin’s ongoing September heat wave, already on pace for record warmth. Trader probabilities peak in the 96–99°F range because ensemble runs show modest spread from slight differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge strength, rather than any major pattern shift. Historical September 20 averages near 90°F underscore how anomalous the current setup remains, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on September 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 20?
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
89°F or below
5%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
5%
108°F or higher
5%
96-97°F 32%
98-99°F 28%
94-95°F 19%
102-103°F 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$15 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$21 Vol.
32%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
28%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
19%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
10%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
5%
108°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 20 centers on unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and dry southerly flow, with forecast highs clustered in the upper 90s to around 100°F.** Light winds and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while low rain chances minimize cooling from evaporation or storms. This aligns with Austin’s ongoing September heat wave, already on pace for record warmth. Trader probabilities peak in the 96–99°F range because ensemble runs show modest spread from slight differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge strength, rather than any major pattern shift. Historical September 20 averages near 90°F underscore how anomalous the current setup remains, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 20 centers on unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and dry southerly flow, with forecast highs clustered in the upper 90s to around 100°F.** Light winds and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while low rain chances minimize cooling from evaporation or storms. This aligns with Austin’s ongoing September heat wave, already on pace for record warmth. Trader probabilities peak in the 96–99°F range because ensemble runs show modest spread from slight differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge strength, rather than any major pattern shift. Historical September 20 averages near 90°F underscore how anomalous the current setup remains, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 20 centers on unseasonably warm conditions driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and dry southerly flow, with forecast highs clustered in the upper 90s to around 100°F.** Light winds and limited cloud cover support strong daytime heating, while low rain chances minimize cooling from evaporation or storms. This aligns with Austin’s ongoing September heat wave, already on pace for record warmth. Trader probabilities peak in the 96–99°F range because ensemble runs show modest spread from slight differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact ridge strength, rather than any major pattern shift. Historical September 20 averages near 90°F underscore how anomalous the current setup remains, with resolution hinging on the final observed maximum at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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