**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on August 26, 2026, with the highest temperature most likely reaching 18–20°C.** Northeasterly winds are advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a frontal system, supporting daytime maxima several degrees above recent averages of 13–14°C. Current observations on August 25 show highs near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, with the pattern shifting to partly cloudy conditions and lighter winds that favor greater solar heating. Official agencies including Argentina’s SMN and international guidance (GFS/ECMWF analogs) show tight clustering around 16–19°C, though variable cloud cover and exact frontal timing introduce modest uncertainty. Traders assign the highest implied probability (41%) to 19°C, reflecting this consensus while pricing in a small chance of 20°C or higher if clearing occurs earlier than expected. New model runs and the official maximum observation tomorrow will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
19°C 43%
20°C 22%
18°C 19%
17°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
19%
19°C
43%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 43%
20°C 22%
18°C 19%
17°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
19%
19°C
43%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on August 26, 2026, with the highest temperature most likely reaching 18–20°C.** Northeasterly winds are advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a frontal system, supporting daytime maxima several degrees above recent averages of 13–14°C. Current observations on August 25 show highs near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy skies, with the pattern shifting to partly cloudy conditions and lighter winds that favor greater solar heating. Official agencies including Argentina’s SMN and international guidance (GFS/ECMWF analogs) show tight clustering around 16–19°C, though variable cloud cover and exact frontal timing introduce modest uncertainty. Traders assign the highest implied probability (41%) to 19°C, reflecting this consensus while pricing in a small chance of 20°C or higher if clearing occurs earlier than expected. New model runs and the official maximum observation tomorrow will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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