Recent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
2°C or below 59%
12°C or higher 59%
11°C 35%
6°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
2°C or below
59%
3°C
27%
4°C
28%
5°C
27%
6°C
29%
7°C
25%
8°C
26%
9°C
23%
10°C
18%
11°C
35%
12°C or higher
59%
2°C or below 59%
12°C or higher 59%
11°C 35%
6°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
2°C or below
$5 Vol.
59%
3°C
$0 Vol.
27%
4°C
$0 Vol.
28%
5°C
$0 Vol.
27%
6°C
$0 Vol.
29%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
23%
10°C
$5 Vol.
18%
11°C
$135 Vol.
35%
12°C or higher
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$150Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$150Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection brought an unusually sharp minimum of 0°C to Buenos Aires on August 22, highlighting the potential for late-winter polar outbreaks to drive sharp overnight radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions. For August 25, ensemble guidance shows a moderating trend with forecast lows clustered near 10–11°C, yet model spread and possible residual cold-air influence create genuine uncertainty between sub-3°C and double-digit readings. Key differentiators include surface wind speed modulating boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover altering longwave radiation loss, and the precise timing of any frontal passage—factors that explain why market-implied probabilities remain tightly bunched across the 2°C-or-below, mid-single-digit, and 12°C-or-higher brackets. Official station observations the following day will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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