Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models place Istanbul's September 2 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical early-September climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C highlight model uncertainty in peak diurnal heating, driven by small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and precise wind speeds that can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with new runs from ECMWF and GFS expected to tighten resolution criteria before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 2?
26°C 50%
27°C 35%
30°C 13.1%
28°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
54%
27°C
35%
28°C
6%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 35%
30°C 13.1%
28°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$189 Vol.
1%
23°C
$140 Vol.
4%
24°C
$114 Vol.
5%
25°C
$215 Vol.
5%
26°C
$181 Vol.
54%
27°C
$492 Vol.
35%
28°C
$132 Vol.
6%
29°C
$54 Vol.
5%
30°C
$110 Vol.
13%
31°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models place Istanbul's September 2 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical early-September climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C highlight model uncertainty in peak diurnal heating, driven by small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and precise wind speeds that can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with new runs from ECMWF and GFS expected to tighten resolution criteria before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,810Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models place Istanbul's September 2 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical early-September climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C highlight model uncertainty in peak diurnal heating, driven by small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and precise wind speeds that can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with new runs from ECMWF and GFS expected to tighten resolution criteria before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,810Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models place Istanbul's September 2 maximum near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and typical early-September climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 26–27 °C highlight model uncertainty in peak diurnal heating, driven by small differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and precise wind speeds that can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with new runs from ECMWF and GFS expected to tighten resolution criteria before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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