Latest forecasts from sources including local Shandong meteorological reports, international models, and agencies like the Met Office converge on a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on August 31 under mostly sunny, stable conditions with light northerly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with late-August climatology (typical highs near 30–31°C) and recent cooling trends after earlier heat, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.4% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Minor model disagreements on exact peaks exist but remain well above the threshold; an unlikely rapid shift from unforecasted atmospheric changes could alter outcomes, though proximity to resolution limits such volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 31?
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C 1.1%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$970 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$970 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$970 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$970 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$45 Vol.
1%
22°C
$45 Vol.
1%
23°C
$47 Vol.
1%
24°C
$46 Vol.
1%
25°C
$70 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$646 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from sources including local Shandong meteorological reports, international models, and agencies like the Met Office converge on a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on August 31 under mostly sunny, stable conditions with light northerly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with late-August climatology (typical highs near 30–31°C) and recent cooling trends after earlier heat, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.4% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Minor model disagreements on exact peaks exist but remain well above the threshold; an unlikely rapid shift from unforecasted atmospheric changes could alter outcomes, though proximity to resolution limits such volatility.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,997Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from sources including local Shandong meteorological reports, international models, and agencies like the Met Office converge on a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on August 31 under mostly sunny, stable conditions with light northerly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with late-August climatology (typical highs near 30–31°C) and recent cooling trends after earlier heat, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.4% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Minor model disagreements on exact peaks exist but remain well above the threshold; an unlikely rapid shift from unforecasted atmospheric changes could alter outcomes, though proximity to resolution limits such volatility.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,997Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from sources including local Shandong meteorological reports, international models, and agencies like the Met Office converge on a high of 30–32°C for Jinan on August 31 under mostly sunny, stable conditions with light northerly winds and no precipitation. This aligns with late-August climatology (typical highs near 30–31°C) and recent cooling trends after earlier heat, reinforcing trader consensus behind the 99.4% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Minor model disagreements on exact peaks exist but remain well above the threshold; an unlikely rapid shift from unforecasted atmospheric changes could alter outcomes, though proximity to resolution limits such volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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