**Current forecasts from global models such as GFS and local observations place Tel Aviv’s daily maximum temperature at 32–33°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds of 5–10 mph, and typical late-summer Mediterranean high-pressure conditions.** This consensus, reinforced by real-time readings approaching 31–32°C by midday with minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s near-certain 33°C outcome. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet today’s stable atmospheric setup and lack of significant model disagreement leave little room for deviation. Only an unexpected increase in marine layer moisture or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 32°C or below, a low-probability shift given the latest guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$29,645 Vol.
$29,645 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$29,645 Vol.
$29,645 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from global models such as GFS and local observations place Tel Aviv’s daily maximum temperature at 32–33°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds of 5–10 mph, and typical late-summer Mediterranean high-pressure conditions.** This consensus, reinforced by real-time readings approaching 31–32°C by midday with minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s near-certain 33°C outcome. Historical September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet today’s stable atmospheric setup and lack of significant model disagreement leave little room for deviation. Only an unexpected increase in marine layer moisture or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 32°C or below, a low-probability shift given the latest guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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