Current forecasts from agencies and models indicate afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover typical of late-summer conditions in the region. Multiple sources project peaks near or above 33°C with heat indices well into the 40s°C, aligning with climatological August averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Light showers or partly cloudy skies appear in guidance but are not expected to suppress maximum temperatures below the threshold. A stronger-than-anticipated rain event or sharp increase in cloud cover could realistically lower readings, though model consensus currently favors sustained heat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 97%
31°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$11,134 Vol.
$11,134 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
97%
32°C or higher 97%
31°C 3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$11,134 Vol.
$11,134 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies and models indicate afternoon highs of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited cloud cover typical of late-summer conditions in the region. Multiple sources project peaks near or above 33°C with heat indices well into the 40s°C, aligning with climatological August averages of 31–33°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for 32°C or higher. Light showers or partly cloudy skies appear in guidance but are not expected to suppress maximum temperatures below the threshold. A stronger-than-anticipated rain event or sharp increase in cloud cover could realistically lower readings, though model consensus currently favors sustained heat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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