Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 large language model remains unreleased as of mid-April 2026, fueling trader caution in release timeline markets despite the company's rapid iteration pace. The January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts (MoE) model excelling in agentic benchmarks like HLE (50.2%) and visual coding—narrowed the US-China AI gap and boosted confidence in Moonshot's open-source frontier capabilities, outpacing rivals like Qwen and GLM on SWE-bench tasks. Recent metadata leaks and a $500 million Series C funding round hint at imminent progress, but no official announcement has materialized. Watch for developer previews or API integrations, with competitive pressures from DeepSeek V4 and MiniMax M3 potentially accelerating a Q2 rollout amid uncertain training timelines.
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Jun 30, 2026
April 30
8%
June 30
53%
$6,282 Vol.
April 30
$4,842 Vol.
8%
June 30
$1,440 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 large language model remains unreleased as of mid-April 2026, fueling trader caution in release timeline markets despite the company's rapid iteration pace. The January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts (MoE) model excelling in agentic benchmarks like HLE (50.2%) and visual coding—narrowed the US-China AI gap and boosted confidence in Moonshot's open-source frontier capabilities, outpacing rivals like Qwen and GLM on SWE-bench tasks. Recent metadata leaks and a $500 million Series C funding round hint at imminent progress, but no official announcement has materialized. Watch for developer previews or API integrations, with competitive pressures from DeepSeek V4 and MiniMax M3 potentially accelerating a Q2 rollout amid uncertain training timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Volume
$6,282Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 large language model remains unreleased as of mid-April 2026, fueling trader caution in release timeline markets despite the company's rapid iteration pace. The January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts (MoE) model excelling in agentic benchmarks like HLE (50.2%) and visual coding—narrowed the US-China AI gap and boosted confidence in Moonshot's open-source frontier capabilities, outpacing rivals like Qwen and GLM on SWE-bench tasks. Recent metadata leaks and a $500 million Series C funding round hint at imminent progress, but no official announcement has materialized. Watch for developer previews or API integrations, with competitive pressures from DeepSeek V4 and MiniMax M3 potentially accelerating a Q2 rollout amid uncertain training timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,282Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 large language model remains unreleased as of mid-April 2026, fueling trader caution in release timeline markets despite the company's rapid iteration pace. The January 2026 launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1 trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts (MoE) model excelling in agentic benchmarks like HLE (50.2%) and visual coding—narrowed the US-China AI gap and boosted confidence in Moonshot's open-source frontier capabilities, outpacing rivals like Qwen and GLM on SWE-bench tasks. Recent metadata leaks and a $500 million Series C funding round hint at imminent progress, but no official announcement has materialized. Watch for developer previews or API integrations, with competitive pressures from DeepSeek V4 and MiniMax M3 potentially accelerating a Q2 rollout amid uncertain training timelines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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